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Global equity/currency market update: Stocks on upswing as U.S. yields drop ahead of Fed rate decision

4 May 2022 8:58 am
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Mumbai, 4 May (Commoditiescontrol): Global equity markets are poised for some rebound, as shown by the upswing in most indices, while 10-year U.S. Treasury yields slid from the 3 percent level as investors remained cautious, expecting the Federal Reserve to hike rates by the most in a single day since 2000 to curb inflation.

Feeding inflation worries, data showed U.S. job openings hit a record in March as worker shortages persisted. This suggested employers may need to raise wages, which likely would increase consumer prices.

Investors expect the Fed to hike rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday, and to detail plans to reduce its $8.9 trillion balance sheet. The U.S. central bank raised its policy interest rate by 25 basis points in March.

Major stock indices in Europe rose, but Wall Street eked out smaller gains as traders braced for a potentially more aggressive decision by policymakers on Wednesday.

The Fed would continue to sound hawkish even it the rate hikes would start to hurt growth and lead to some job losses, because right now the economy is on solid footing.

MSCI's all-country world index rose 0.39 percent and the pan-European STOXX 600 index gained 0.53 percent the day after a "flash crash" in Nordic markets caused by a trade involving a single Citigroup sell order.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.2 percent, the S&P 500 gained 0.48 percent and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.22 percent.

Overnight in Asia, Australia's central bank raised its key rate by a bigger-than-expected 25 basis points, lifting the Aussie dollar as much as 1.3 percent and hitting local shares. The Bank of England is expected to raise rates on Thursday for the fourth time in a row.

Asian equities on Tuesday were mostly steady in holiday-thinned trade, with both Chinese and Japanese markets shut. But in Hong Kong, Alibaba shares fell as much as 9 percent on worries over the status of its billionaire founder Jack Ma.

A state media report that Chinese authorities took action against a person surnamed Ma hit the stock hard, but it recouped losses after the report was revised to make clear it was not the company's founder.

Germany's benchmark 10-year Bund yield rose to 1 percent for the first time since 2015, before retreating as caution set in ahead of the anticipated U.S. and UK rate hikes this week.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes fell 1.5 basis points to 2.981 percent, after breaching the key milestone of 3 percent for the first time since December 2018 on Monday.

The dollar fell against a basket of major currencies as investors weighed how much of the Fed's expected move to hike rates this week and beyond was already priced in.

The dollar, which has been supported by safe haven buying on worries over the economic outlook, stayed just below the nearly two-decade high reached in April and the euro steadied above the lowest level in more five than years hit last month.

The dollar index fell 0.106 percent, while the euro rose 0.17 percent to $1.0522. The Japanese yen was little changed at 130.16 per dollar.

Oil slipped as concerns about demand due to China's prolonged COVID lockdowns outweighed support from a possible European oil embargo on Russia over the war in Ukraine.

U.S. crude futures settled down $2.76 at $102.41 a barrel, while Brent fell $2.61 to settle at $104.97 a barrel.

Copper and aluminium prices fell sharply as weak manufacturing data on Monday, COVID-19 outbreaks in China and rising rates stoked fears that demand for metals will soften.

Gold firmed, tracking a slight retreat in Treasury yields and the dollar, while investors eyed an aggressive rate hike by the Fed on Wednesday.

U.S. gold futures settled up 0.4 percent at $1,870.60 per ounce. Bitcoin fell 2.56 percent to $37,535.85.

(By Commoditiescontrol Bureau: +91-22-40015505)

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