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Global equity/currency market update: Nikkei leads Asia higher, packed week for events ahead

4 Mar 2024 9:17 am
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Mumbai, 4 Mar (Commoditiescontrol): Asian share markets firmed on Monday as the Nikkei reached another new high and investors braced for a week packed with central bank events and major data that will refine market wagers for when interest rates will start falling.

All eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell when he testifies before lawmakers on Wednesday and Thursday, though analysts assume he will stay in wait-and-see mode on policy given recent upside surprises on inflation.

The February payrolls report on Friday could also shift the calculus with forecasts favouring a still-solid rise of 200,000 after January's barnstorming 353,000 jump.

The European Central Bank meets Thursday and is considered certain to keep rates at 4.0%, but also lower its outlook for inflation in a nod to eventual cuts.

Other events of note include President Joe Biden's State of the Union address on Thursday, the Super Tuesday U.S. primaries and China's National People's Congress (NPC) meeting starting on Tuesday which might flag new stimulus measures.

Chinese blue chips were off 0.2% awaiting some concrete news on any measures.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan firmed 0.4%, after snapping a five-week winning streak with a slight drop last week.

Japan's Nikkei climbed 0.8% to break 40,000 for the first time, having risen for five weeks straight. Tech darling Tokyo Electron has surged 55% since the start of the year.

An upbeat report on fourth quarter capex out Monday suggested GDP could be revised to positive from negative, meaning Japan was not in recession after all. That added to speculation a strong wage round could lead the Bank of Japan to end negative rates in April.

Japan's government is considering declaring an end to deflation, reported Kyodo news agency, which would be another marker on the road to policy tightening. EUROSTOXX 50 futures added 0.2%, while FTSE futures dipped 0.1%.

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were trading near flat, having made record closing highs on Friday on upbeat earnings and enthusiasm for all things AI. .N BofA analyst Savita Subramanian now sees the S&P 500 pushing on to 5,400, thanks to solid earnings, though there is a risk of a correction given how far the market has come.

The dollar stood at 150.11 yen , having peaked at 150.85 last week, while the euro steadied at $1.0842 after bouncing from a low of $1.0796 last week.

The U.S. data surprise had helped gold to a two-month top and the metal was last trading steady at $2,082 an ounce

Oil prices firmed after OPEC+ members led by Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed on Sunday to extend voluntary oil output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day into the second quarter. Brent rose 13 cents to $83.68 a barrel, while U.S. crude gained 2 cents to $79.99 per barrel.

(By Commoditiescontrol Bureau: 09820130172)


       
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