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Global equity/currency market update: Gold gains, oil choppy after Iran attacks Israel

15 Apr 2024 8:50 am
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Mumbai, 15 Apr (Commoditiescontrol): Gold prices rose on Monday, attracting some safe haven bids, while oil prices were choppy after Iran's retaliatory attack on Israel over the weekend stoked fears of a wider regional conflict and kept traders on edge for what comes next.

U.S. stock futures ticked higher after major indexes ended sharply lower on Friday as results from major U.S. banks failed to impress. Iran had, late on Saturday, launched explosive drones and missiles at Israel in retaliation for a suspected Israeli attack on its consulate in Syria on April 1, marking its first direct attack on Israeli territory.

The threat of open warfare erupting between the arch Middle East foes and dragging in the United States has left the region on tenterhooks, as U.S. President Joe Biden warned Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu the U.S. will not take part in a counter-offensive against Iran.

Israel said "the campaign is not over yet".

Global markets struggled for direction early in Asia on Monday after the weekend developments in the Middle East, as oil prices edged broadly lower in volatile trade, gold jumped and the dollar held broadly steady.

Brent crude futures eased 0.25% to $90.21 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.35% to $85.36 a barrel.

Gold rose 0.7% to $2,359.92 an ounce, after having scaled a record of $2,431.29 on Friday. The yellow metal has climbed some 14% for the year thus far.

Elsewhere, U.S. 10-year Treasury futures edged slightly lower with an implied yield of 4.53%, while the dollar held near a 34-year high against the yen at 153.27.

The euro and sterling were similarly pinned near five-month lows. FRX/ A continued run of resilient U.S. economic data, particularly last week's hotter-than-expected inflation report, has prompted investors to reset their expectations of the pace and scale of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year as inflation proves stickier than previously thought.

Futures now point to about 50 basis points worth of easing expected this year, a huge pull back from the 160 bps that was priced in at the start of the year.

That sea change in the rate outlook has in turn sent the dollar on a tear and U.S. Treasury yields surging, with the two-year yield rising above 5% for the first time since November last week.

A slew of Fed policymakers are due to speak this week, including Chair Jerome Powell, who could give further clarity on the future path of U.S. interest rates.

In stock markets, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures each rose 0.3% in early Asia trade, reversing some of the heavy losses in U.S. equities on Friday.

All three major indexes had registered losses on the week, weighed down by lacklustre bank earnings and the evolving expectations for Fed policy.

(By Commoditiescontrol Bureau: 09820130172)


       
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