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MCX Crude Oil July: Reversal Above 4557 Closing

22 Jun 2018 9:42 am
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Report for Date:22/06/2018




Cover short position at 4496 or below as the opportunity arises.

Expect higher range of 4538-4657 to be tested.

Price reversal breakout is above 4557 closing.

Weakness resumes below 4318 and till then lower range can be used to cover short position.

Consolidation appears to be in place and breakout above 4557 with bullish candle can set a near term rally.

Sideways movement is in progress as is shown with blue color candles.

Volumes registered in last few days have been highest of the contract and the same can be seen in the chart with spike in volume bars.

Downside is below 4318 as entire consolidation process will turn into distribution for a collapse.



TREND INFORMATION WITH INTRA-DAY LEVELS

CLOSE

DRV

TREND*

Trend

Price

Trend

Date

L1

L2

CP

L3

L4

4496.0

4525.3

DOWN

4611.0

25.05

4300

4419

4462

4538

4657


*Trend will remain Down as long as last close is below the pink color DRV. Trend will be Up as long as Price is above DRV is lower.

PRICE, VOLUME AND OPEN INTEREST STRATEGY

Last Close

Price G/L%

Volume

V -G/L%

Open Interest

OI -G/L %

Candle

Position

4496.0

0.2

14017500

-13.5

11944

-1.6

Indecisive

Unwinding


TECHINCAL INDICATORS TABLE

RSI

1-ROC-RSI

Stochastic

1-ROC-

Stochastic

MACD

1-ROC

MACD

RS

1-ROC

RS

47.90

1.57

58.33

2.16

-34.56

9.34

49.38

5.28








Note: UP Green= Shows Up Trend as Close > DRV (Pink Line), DN Red= Shows Down Trend as Close < DRV(Pink Line), Red Color Bar= Down Trend + Bandwidth Is Rising, Green Color Bars= Up Trend + Bandwidth Is Rising, Blue Color Bars= Sideways(Trend could be up or down + Bandwidth is falling), Pink Color line= DRV, V marked= Increase in Volume in relation to last few days. Trend will remain Down as long as last close is below the pink color DRV. Trend will be Up as long as Price is above DRV. Bandwidth Indicator= Helps to determine directional speed in the direction of the trend. Falling Bandwidth would indicates loss of momentum being witnessed or likely to be witnessed. Sideways movement may emerge or upside or downside could be locked until Bandwidth does not turn up. Rising Bandwidth can bring about directional momentum.

Disclaimer: There is risk of loss in trading in derivatives and the report is not to be construed as investment advice. The information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes. The author, directors and other employees of CC Commodity Info Services cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above.


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