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CFTC COT Report: NYMEX Crude Oil: Downward Bias Remains In Prices

13 Feb 2016 8:49 pm
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Mumbai (Commoditiescontrol): Commitment of Traders Report – 13 February 2016

Introduction

Commitment of Traders Report was released yesterday 12 February 2016. Positions reported are as on 9 February 2016

Rounding off errors may be present in calculations

Crude Oil – NYMEX

NYMEX Crude Oil

Total Open Interest

Total Open Interest Futures Only

Total Open Interest Options Only

Percentage of Futures in Open Interest

Percentage of Options in Open Interest

2717026

1854379

862647

68.25

31.75

Total open interest in futures accounted for 68.25 percent of total open interest while options accounted for 31.75 percent of the total open interest.

NYMEX Crude Oil

Total Open Interest

Percentage Change

Total Reportable

Open Interest

Change in Long Positions

Change in Short Positions

Net (Long-Short)

Net (Long-Short)Prev Week

All

2717026

1.82

40037

45093

-17667

-12611

Total open interest increased by 1.82 percent for week ended 5th February. Addition to both long and short positions were seen with short positions outnumbering addition to long positions. Market was net short with short positions increased week on week.

NYMEX Crude Oil

Commercials

Open Interest

Hedgers

Swap Dealers

Change in Long Positions

Change in Short Positions

Net (Long-Short)

Change in Long Positions

Change in Short Positions

Net (Long-Short)

Net Spreading Positions

All

-9941

3772

-251542

12203

143

-20118

6188


Hedgers reduced long positions and added to short positions last week and were net short. Overall number of short positions increased week on week.


Swap dealers were net short in the market and added to all three categories – long, short and calendar spread positions. Addition to long positions was large while addition to short positions was very small. Overall the difference between long and short positions reduced week on week.

NYMEX Crude Oil

Non-Commercials

Open Interest

Managed Money

Other Reportable

Change in Long Positions

Change in Short Positions

Net (Long-Short)

Net Spreading Positions

Change in Long Positions

Change in Short Positions

Net (Long-Short)

Net Spreading Positions

All

1152

-4151

110487

24328

4557

13262

143507

1550


Managed money was net long and added to its long positions. Short positions were reduced while large number of calendar spread positions was added. Week on week difference between long and short positions increased favouring the longs while addition to calendar spread positions continued to be large.


Other reportable positions continued with the trend seen the previous week. Addition was made into all three categories – long, short and calendar positions. Only the quantity of additions this week was smaller than the previous. Overall addition to short positions was more than that of long positions reducing the difference between long and short positions. This segment continued to be net long.

NYMEX Crude Oil

Non- Reportable Positions

Open Interest

Change in Long Positions

Change in Short Positions

Net (Long-Short)

All

8607

3552

17666


Non reportable positions continued to be net long. Addition to short positions showed a remarkable increase but increase in long positions outnumbered the addition to short positions.

Percentage of Open Interest Held by 4 or Less Traders

Long

Short

All

10.7

5.3


4 or less large traders continued to have larger long positions. Week on week marginal reductions to long positions and addition to short positions were seen.


Source: CFTC


Outlook


Calendar spread positions continued to draw maximum attention indicating that market participants were investing their money in arbitrage arising out of lack of direction in prices. Net short position increase was due to hedgers and other reportable segment increasing shorts. Managed money did decrease short positions but increase in long positions was not encouraging. Thus prices continue to be with a downward bias to trading in a range.


(By Commoditiescontrol Bureau; +91-22-40015523)

       
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