MUMBAI (Commoditiescontrol) – India kharif pulses production is expected to drop for the second successive season amid deficient rainfall in key growing regions. The government has set kharif pulses production target at 7 million, which is unlikely to be achieved in the present circumstances.
After a robust start in June, monsoon rains have given a miss to many parts of the country, hurting planted acreage and crop growth prospects. India monsoon rainfall as on September 1, 2015 of the current season, which starts from June 1, turned deficient by 12 percent of normal limit.
According to Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), Marathwada, Madhya Maharashtra, Rayalseema, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Telangana and Punjab received deficient rainfall during the season. Currently, about half of the country’s 36 meteorological subdivisions observe deficient rainfall.
India had planted 10.55 million tonnes of pulses as on August 28, 2015 compared to 9.41 million tonnes same period a year ago, according to ministry of agriculture.
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Pulses Planted Area As On August 28, 2015 (In Lakh Hectare)
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Crops
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Normal Area (DES)
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2015-16
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2014-15
|
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Tur
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39.05
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34.3
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33.58
|
|
Urad
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23.74
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26.34
|
23.24
|
|
Moong
|
24.22
|
23.92
|
19.97
|
|
Kulthi
|
2.84
|
0.27
|
0.37
|
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Other Pulses
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18.34
|
20.68
|
17.03
|
|
Pulses
|
108.18
|
105.52
|
94.18
|
Pulses crops are currently maturing rapidly and desperately need precipitation for growth, otherwise yield could be dropped significantly. With just two to three weeks left for the monsoon season to end, there is anxiety among farming and trade circles.
Meanwhile, weather experts said that India's southwest monsoon might show signs of withdrawal from India's north-western parts from beginning of September, which could widen the overall shortfall more than the existing 12 per cent.
India’s pulses production is likely to be lower than the targeted production, but higher acreage may result in more output than last kharif season.
Demand May Rise Ahead Of Festivals
There is already shortage of tur, urad and chana in markets and festivals ahead in the coming months will mostly likely to elevate prices, as demand for pulses would be at its peak. However, early sown new moong crop supply has started in Maharashtra and Karnataka, but the late sown crops need rainfall badly, otherwise its productivity may fall as well.
The current domestic demand is mostly met by the imports. The Government of India, Ministry of Commerce and Industry data suggest that imports from April to July 2015 were seen at 1.2 M tonnes.
India is likely to import about 250,000-300,000 tonnes of tur till December from African countries, which may ease shortage to some extent. Also, Australia is expected to produce over 8 lakh tonnes of chana this year, and around half of the crop had already been contracted, according to trade sources. Australia chana may hit Indian ports by October-November.
Besides, the country is expected to import nealy 8 lakh tonnes of yellow peas, which will begin in September and continue till January.
(By Commoditiescontrol Bureau; +91-22-40015533)
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