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Monsoon 2020 Likely To Be ‘Above Normal’

4 Apr 2020 9:30 pm
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Mumbai (Commodities Control) - South-West Monsoon in India, that typically starts from June, is likely to be “above-normal” due to La Nina Conditions. There’s also likelihood that the monsoon could hit Kerala on May 31, a day before its normal onset date of June 1st.

According America’s Weather Company, an IBM venture, India is clearly more weighted towards a wetter-than-normal season, and could receive a 105% of normal monsoon rains.

The weather company predicts heavy rainfalls in Kerala, Karnataka and Western Coastal regions of the nation.

In an interview to Indian newspaper ‘Business Line’, the company reveals that a transition is expected from weak El Nino conditions towards La Nina conditions during the monsoon period, which is increasingly conducive to heavier rainfalls later in the season.

The El Nino is associated with heating of Pacific waters and is widely believed to have a negative impact on the Indian monsoon. La Nina is contrast to El Nino and is considered good for Indian subcontinent with regards to monsoon.

Although the Northern plains and Eastern part of India will likely receive lesser rains as compared with last year. However the forecast excluded likelihood of drought like scenario. While North-East and North-West regions are predicted to receive normal rains.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) is likely to come up with its monsoon forecast later this month.

(Commodities Control Bureau)

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