Newlands FSU Wheat Weather - Apr 11

 
Ukraine, Moldova and Belarus 
 
Highlights: Mostly dry during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged well 
above normal. Highs yesterday in the upper 60s to low 70s F. 
 
Forecast: 
 Days 1-3: Mostly dry today. Dry or with only isolated light showers tomorrow 
or during Thursday. Temperatures average above to well above normal again 
today. Northwest areas may turn somewhat cooler tomorrow and Thursday. 
North-central and northeast areas may turn somewhat cooler Thursday. 
 
 Days 4-5: Mostly dry or with only isolated light showers during this period. 
Temperatures average well above normal in the west and southeast areas, 
slightly above normal through northeast locations. 
 
West and South Russia (Central Region, Black Soils region, Volga valley, 
Southern Russia=Rostov Oblast, Krasnodar Krai, Stravropol Krai, Northern 
Caucasus) 
 
Highlights: Mostly dry during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged above 
normal yesterday. 
 
Forecast 
 Days 1-3: Mostly dry during this period. Temperatures average above normal 
today and Wednesday, near to below normal north and above normal south 
Thursday. 
 
 Days 4-5: Mostly dry during this period. Temperatures average near to below 
normal during this period. 
 
Urals and Siberia Russia and north Kazakh (Spring Wheat) 
 
Highlights: Light precipitation southeast areas during the past 24 hours, 
little elsewhere in the region. Temperatures averaged above normal in the south 
and east, somewhat cooler northwest. 
 
Forecast... 
 Days 1-3: Dry or with only light precipitation in eastern most areas today. 
Mostly dry tomorrow and Thursday. Temperatures turn cooler in the east and 
warmer west today. The west and north turns cooler tomorrow or during Thursday. 
 
 
 Days 4-5: Mostly dry Friday. Light precipitation favoring northern Kazakh 
during Saturday. Temperatures average near to below normal north, near to above 
normal south. 
 
WORLD WHEAT PROSPECTS 
 
    Dry weather continues to stress winter wheat in much of the southern 
plains. Crop conditions are poor in many areas. 
    Recent warm temperatures and rain in Turkey will favor development of wheat 
running well ahead of normal due to the well above normal temperatures. Recent 
reports suggest wheat has entered the jointing stage and will benefit from 
showers this week and continued warm temperatures. 
    Wheat areas of Ukraine, west and south Russia have been warmer during the 
past week. Snow cover is diminishing as is normal for the season. Moisture for 
this crop should be adequate to surplus as this snow cover melts. Wheat remains 
dormant and somewhat behind normal development. 
    Winter wheat areas of Europe have been warmer again during the past week. 
Recent episodes of rain will provide favorable moisture for crops in western 
and central Europe during the coming weeks. Wheat in Spain ranges from 
vegetative growth to reproductive growth and will benefit from above normal 
winter and early spring rains. 
   An increase in rain activity through east-central China during March will 
help improve soil moisture and irrigation in key winter wheat areas. Wheat is 
likely breaking dormancy due to recent warmth. The region turned colder late 
last week but should be warmer again during this week. Prospects remain good 
through southern areas. Northern locations could use more rain to supplement 
irrigation at this time. 
   Winter and early spring rainfall averaged above normal in Morocco, Algeria 
and Tunisia. The added moisture will favor jointing to reproductive winter 
wheat. Reports suggest that prospects for this crop remain good to excellent. 
   A few showers and cooler temperatures have developed in winter wheat areas 
of India since late last week. Showers at this time of year are neutral at best 
and may be unfavorable for the maturing crop. 
 
 
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